Best of #econtwitter - Week of September 13, 2020
Welcome readers old and new to this week’s edition of the Best of Econtwitter. Recommendations always welcome over email or on Twitter @just_economics.
New papers
We revisit the classic argument that fractured geography was responsible for why Europe has been politically fragmented for most of its history in comparison to other parts of Eurasia, particularly (but not exclusively China).
^thread; amazing video of the simulation they run here
Here is the key figure in the paper. Immigrant and Native-Born Entrepreneurship: Firm Size Distributions using all start-up firms in the US census data (2005-2010), for US-born and immigrant-founded firms. 1/2
Ian Hathaway @IanHathaway
^a thread from another coauthor here
1/New WP: Governments face a trade-off between insuring taxpayers and bond investors. To keep the government debt risk-free, the (warning: finance lingo) beta of the government’s tax revenue has to be lower than the beta of spending. @SVNieuwerburgh @MindyXiaolan
FOMC speeches reveal that a higher communication on financial stability concerns relates to a more accomodative monetary policy.
#FOMC #FederalReserve
New WP joint with @SestieriG and Florens Odendhal
"Immigration, Crime and Crime (Mis)Perceptions" - New WP with @pdomingr and R. Undurraga
In a nutshell
Immigration:
1) Did NOT cause crime
2) Triggered crime-related concerns
3) Triggered crime-preventive behavior (installing alarms, etc)
link: papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
🚨🚨 New paper alert 🚨🚨
Very excited about new paper with @SayWhatYouFound title:
Improving data access democratizes and diversifies science
forthcoming in @PNASNews
with @esther_shears & @MathijsdeVaan (@BerkeleyHaas)
link: pnas.org/content/early/…
Thread 👇
A really interesting new paper from @JamesBessen et al. on trends in industry disruption over time.
Contra the traditional narrative that displacement has been on the decline since the 70s, it finds that ~2000 was the inflection point.
papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
Other paper summaries
“Understanding Persistence” by Morgan Kelly re-examines the historical persistence literature in economics from a spatial statistics perspective. I think the results are MASSIVELY important for social science more broadly so here is a thread on the matter (1/13) #EconTwitter
^David Hilbert once claimed that the importance of a scientific work can be measured by the number of older works it makes obsolete; by this criterion, Kelly’s paper is up there
The paper has a lot of really nice figures showing the changing patterns of selection into unionization over many decades; e.g., figure below shows selection into unionization by education conditional on race. In recent years, education no longer predicts unionization status
Our paper on the response of the #LaborShare to #MonetaryPolicy shocks is now out on @JEEA_News. Here is a thread to summarise the paper and reflect its publication journey. 👇1/n
JEEA @JEEA_News
Announcements
We're excited to announce the creation of a new Short Paper submission option at the Journal of Public Economics!
AERI rules apply, submissions are now open!
See details here:
Good discussions and replies
Here's a bunch of @Stata tips for handling large datasets (millions of observations).
I wish I knew them when I was starting with admin data analysis...
Some good news for JMCs on #EconTwitter. On a quick scrape of the AEA's job listings, the private sector seems to be holding at 90% of last year's listings at this point in time, and nonUS academic jobs are at ~65%.
(Bad news is that US academic jobs at ~35% as bad as expected).
^…I don’t know if this is good news
With friends at LSE, I recently had a reading group session in memory of Emmanuel Farhi. I discussed some of his influential papers on production networks with David Baqaee.
I thought I'd summarise this discussion here for people interested in this beautiful line of work 👇
I’m crowdsourcing to create a list of PhD-level courses and office hours that are open to students around the world. Consolidating this data would help a number of prospective and current students.
#EconTwitter
Eva Vivalt @evavivalt