Best of #econtwitter - Week of May 29, 2022
Welcome readers old and new to this week’s edition of Best of Econtwitter. Thanks to those sharing suggestions, over email or on Twitter @just_economics.
Paper summaries
Brad Shapiro@btshapir
Very interesting work on how economists perceive null results TL;DR.
1) Economists do penalize null effects
2) How to communicate the null matters.
3) Surprisingly, they penalize them even if that null effect is "surprising," inconsistent with bias in favor of surprising results.
Ingar Haaland @Ingar30
1/ People often say that null results are penalized in the publication process. Is that true? In a new paper with @cp_roth, @FelixChopra, and Andreas Stegmann, we examine whether and why that's the case! Read on to learn more! https://t.co/A3fgSFrcsF
12:22 PM · May 28, 2022
27 Reposts · 140 Likes
Paul Novosad@paulnovosad
@btshapir My rule of thumb when reading papers is to multiply coefs by 1/3 and standard errors by 2.
1:40 PM · May 28, 2022
1 Repost · 4 Likes
John B. Holbein@JohnHolbein1
You know how some people argue that media coverage of mass shootings increases the chances of future mass shootings?
Those people seem to be right.
Evidence: "The Effect of Media Coverage on Mass Shootings"
#SocSciResearch
iza.org/publications/d…
5:48 PM · Nov 20, 2018
289 Reposts · 434 Likes
Andrew Little@anthlittle
Since models of persuasion are a topic for NYT op-eds, it's time to share a draft: "Bayesian Explanations for Persuasion."
Tenure means writing weird papers with no obvious prospect for publication because you think it might be interesting/useful, right?
osf.io/ygw8e
3:42 PM · May 26, 2022
35 Reposts · 233 Likes
Andrew Little@anthlittle
More constructively, the title evokes Fearon (1995), and proposes a taxonomy of models of persuasion structured in a similar way. Fearon starts with a red herring result about why war should not happen, I start with a result about why persuasion should not be possible.
3:44 PM · May 26, 2022
3 Likes
Alexandros Rigos@alexrigos
I find that in beauty contests, if priors on fundamentals are even slightly non-normal, equilibrium action distributions can be far from normal. So...
⚠️Be careful if you care about action distributions⚠️
6:35 PM · May 25, 2022
4 Likes
Ben Golub 🇺🇦@ben_golub
Today will be the next-to-last time I ever present my paper "Supply Network Formation and Fragility."
Excited to talk at the Virtual Market Design Seminar Series, today at 10am New York/3 pm London/10pm Shanghai.
Please join if interested!
us06web.zoom.us/meeting/regist…
1/
1:41 PM · May 23, 2022
3 Reposts · 60 Likes
Heath Henderson@hendersonhl22
Today marks the start of my first sabbatical and it's also the day I start writing my first book, tentatively titled The Poverty of Cash.
The book is a critique of using cash transfers as a tool for fighting poverty. Here's a quick thread that lays out the basic argument ...
6:52 PM · May 23, 2022
27 Reposts · 204 Likes
Nathan Wilmers@natewilmers
Employers shifted from standardized pay, fixed by tenure or job title-based, to more flexible pay setting, like subjective merit assessments.
This change was fast: mid-1970s, 3/4ths of blue collar jobs had standardized pay; only half by 1991.
10:55 AM · May 23, 2022
10 Reposts · 43 Likes
Richard Holden@profholden
I'm very pleased that my paper "Getting Dynamic Implementation to Work" w/ Yi-Chun Chen, Takashi Kunimoto, Yifei Sun & Tom Wilkening is forthcoming @JPolEcon. Our goal is to harness the power of dynamic implementation mechanisms but ensure they're robust. A thread. Buckle up.1/18
2:07 AM · May 23, 2022
16 Reposts · 113 Likes
Lionel Page@page_eco
Our paper “Too big to prevail. The paradox of power in coalition formation” is now forthcoming at Games and Economic Behavior!
It motivated the thread below on why Russia’s neighbours want to join Western alliances (NATO, EU). The paper also gives several other intuitions. A 🧵
Lionel Page @page_eco
It is regrettable that many Western commentators repeated Putin’s narrative that the problem came from an aggressive NATO expansion aimed at encircling Russia.
Time for a reset of narratives. Here are some simple insights, informed by our work on the game theory of alliances. 🧵 https://t.co/8qtNk7s4L9
2:06 PM · May 25, 2022
3 Reposts · 23 Likes
More: Organizational Capital, Corporate Leadership, and Firm Dynamics; German wealth inequality; Germany labor market overview; qualitative interviews → NLP; teacher correlations; police killings data accuracy
Public goods
Marco Battaglini@m_battaglini
Together with E. Patacchini and V. Leone Sciabolazza, we are putting online all the data on social connections in the U.S. Congress that we have collected years for our research.
congressindata.com
A small thread
congressindata.com
Congress in Data – Congress in Data
6:45 PM · May 27, 2022
36 Reposts · 216 Likes
Interesting discussions
Nikos Bosse@nikosbosse
The world would be a better place if the default publishing format for scientific papers were HTML rather than PDF
8:37 AM · May 23, 2022
21 Reposts · 469 Likes
John Cochrane@JohnHCochrane
@carly_urban Great thread. This is actually a more traditional career path in the history of economics, up to the 1980s or so, mixing research&teaching, with practice, public service, policy, etc. Obsession with numbers of articles is more recent. Congratulations on a life well lived too.
6:51 PM · May 20, 2022
5 Reposts · 123 Likes
Erez Yoeli@erezyoeli
In our interview, @michaelshermer asked a question that I keep thinking back to: if norms are so great, why do we need government?
Our discussion is at 38:20, but here are some thoughts, now that the question has been marinating for a while.🧵
Michael Shermer @michaelshermer
ICYMI, this important book by @Moshe_Hoffman & @erezyoeli applies game theory to numerous human social dilemmas from love and marriage to homicide and war. We had a fabulous conversation. Listen here then read the book.
https://t.co/wov1wVa0xr
8:42 PM · May 24, 2022
3 Reposts · 6 Likes
Caedmon 🏳️🌈 ACAB@caedmonr_
Breaking news everyone I found a latek package that letts you put cowboy hats on your variables
8:16 PM · May 21, 2022
1.3K Reposts · 8.43K Likes