Best of #econtwitter - Week of July 24, 2022 [3/4]
Jul 26, 2022
Welcome readers old and new to this week’s edition of Best of Econtwitter. Please submit suggestions — very much including your own work! — over email or on Twitter @just_economics.
This is part three of four.
Paper summaries

Jack Andrews@DrJackAndrews
Out now in Psychological Medicine, we report the effects of a large RCT of a universal school-based CBT informed intervention for adolescent mental health.
Despite increasing m/h knowledge, we found null, and some small iatrogenic effects, a🧵
cambridge.org/core/journals/…
cambridge.org
Evaluating the effectiveness of a universal eHealth school-based prevention programme for depression and anxiety, and the moderating role of friendship network characteristics | Psychological Medicine | Cambridge Core
7:00 AM · Jul 18, 2022
222 Reposts · 592 Likes
^“iatrogenic” := made it worse. More context: “this trial adds to a small but growing body of research that indicates universal school MH interventions can lead to an *increase* in internalising symptoms”

Steve Yadlowsky (@ ICML 22)@graduatedescent
There’s so many methods for estimating heterogeneous treatment effects these days! But how do you decide which one to use? And how do you know if it worked well? I’ve spent the last year+ working on evaluation metrics to answer these Qs. 🧵👇🏻
8:51 PM · Jul 18, 2022
50 Reposts · 352 Likes

Michael Hallsworth@mhallsworth
A 🧵on the evidence around nudging. Basically: the recent debate has been pretty dumb on both sides.
1:25 PM · Jul 22, 2022
133 Reposts · 427 Likes

Michael Hallsworth@mhallsworth
We know this because @sdellavi & @ElizabethLinos analyzed all trials run by @BITAmericas and @OESatGSA over several years. Average effect size of 1.4pp (8% relative) was "still sizable and highly statistically significant". No publication bias possible. onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.398…
1:25 PM · Jul 22, 2022
19 Reposts · 120 Likes
^other thread on nudging

Daphné Skandalis@DaphneSkandalis
Our WP on Racial Inequality in Unemployment Insurance w/ @mioana & Maxim Massenkoff is out: nber.org/papers/w30252
Using rich admin data on UI claims, we show that differences in state rules create a Black-White gap in replacement rate & don’t maximize overall welfare.🧵👇(1/7)
nber.org
Racial Inequality in the U.S. Unemployment Insurance System

7:01 PM · Jul 19, 2022
38 Reposts · 132 Likes

Alexander Berger@albrgr
Three more recent NBER working papers finding negative impacts of particulate pollution:
nber.org/system/files/w… (ship emissions in US increase infant mortality)
nber.org/system/files/w… (pollution in china reduces fertility)
nber.org/system/files/w… (US coal reduces test scores)



10:34 PM · Jul 22, 2022
36 Reposts · 129 Likes

Danielle Sanderson Edwards@drdsedwards
I find that being eligible for the school bus increases attendance by an additional 1-2 school days and reduces chronic absenteeism by 2-4 percentage points (about 20%) for economically disadvantaged students. 6/16


12:50 PM · Jul 19, 2022
1 Like

anna 🤝 economics@economicsanna
NEW PAPER OUT IN @JHealthEcon with @dukester24, Bruce Guthrie, @dataevan and @MattXSutton
This started as work looking into the removal of incentives in a pay-for-performance scheme in England (Quality and Outcomes Framework; QOF)
sciencedirect.com/science/articl…

2:34 PM · Jul 18, 2022
10 Reposts · 56 Likes

Jaakko Meriläinen@jmerilainen
❓ A good politician is competent and honest, but does the political class meet this ideal?
✔️ Yes (at least in Finland)!
@mmjokela, @JanneTukiainen, @asa_vonschoultz, and I have a new working paper on the cognitive and non-cognitive abilities of politicians.
A short 🧵:
1/N
1:53 PM · Jul 19, 2022
33 Reposts · 130 Likes

Gord Burtch@gburtch
New paper /w @Kevin_Hong, Nina Huang and Yumei He. An RCT with a dating app. We provide some users info (within peer profiles pages) about peers' inbound request volumes. Treated users reallocate attention to less busy peers, matching efficiency improves:
pubsonline.informs.org
article.title
6:54 PM · Jul 18, 2022
4 Reposts · 28 Likes

Will Diamond@wdiamond_econ
Have a (semi) new paper I'd like to share! papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cf…
We estimate the "convenience yield" of government debt in 10 major currencies- the rate of return investors are willing to forgo to hold government debt compared to a asset which pays the same cash flows.
papers.ssrn.com
Risk-Free Rates and Convenience Yields Around the World
6:12 PM · Jul 18, 2022
18 Reposts · 71 Likes

Florian Ederer@florianederer
Even entrepreneurship is partisan, especially since the election of President Trump.
Republicans increase their relative entrepreneurship during Republican administrations and decrease it during Democratic administrations.
nber.org/papers/w30249

3:24 PM · Jul 18, 2022
10 Reposts · 50 Likes

Hamed Nilforoshan@h_nilforoshan
Excited and honored to share that our #ICML2022 paper, “Causal Conceptions of Fairness and their Consequences” (w/ @jgaeb1, Ravi Shroff, and @5harad) has received an outstanding paper award!!! See 🧵for key findings and results
Paper: arxiv.org/abs/2207.05302 1/17

3:56 PM · Jul 19, 2022
27 Reposts · 132 Likes

Teresa Fort@Tfpiasecki
Excited about a new NBER working paper that studies the distinct welfare effects of input versus final goods tariffs with @pol_antras @FelixTintelnot and @AgusGutierrez92
nber.org/papers/w30225
1/5
nber.org
Trade Policy and Global Sourcing: An Efficiency Rationale for Tariff Escalation

9:59 PM · Jul 20, 2022
17 Reposts · 95 Likes

Sean Last@Sean__Last
New paper shows that greater historical reliance on seasonally migratory ("transhumant") pastoralism predicts a greater modern in-group bias in trust, plausibly because migration exposed people to more hostile outgroups and lessened the benefits of allies.
nber.org/papers/w30259#…




2:29 AM · Jul 20, 2022
9 Reposts · 58 Likes

Arpit Gupta@arpitrage
Hunter gatherers were pretty sophisticated, with complex trade and kinship networks.
Discussion here suggests that cooperation and positive sum interactions (rather than warfare) maybe began ~200-300kya, and pro-peace social institutions grew ~80kya.




Human Systems and Behavior Lab @HSB_Lab
When did peace emerge in our evolutionary history? In a new preprint I argue that intergroup cooperation extends at least to the beginning of our species. Peace developed much more recently because it is extraordinary difficult to achieve. https://t.co/JB30qOW86a
9:56 PM · Jul 24, 2022
9 Reposts · 29 Likes

Joe Henrich@JoHenrich
Such a great paper by @JF_Schulz, showing the impact of the Church and cousin marriage on the emergence of democratic institutions (@DumanBRad): academic.oup.com/ej/advance-art…

7:15 PM · Jul 18, 2022
29 Reposts · 95 Likes

